4

Celestial Skies

4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 4 · OR 87

Santa Anita · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength43%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Santa Anita 30/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 66 · 5f110y Fas 124 · below its mark30/01/2026 · OR 66 par30/01C9OR 66C9 @ Santa Anita 08/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 68 · 1m Fas 126 · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 68 parC9 @ Santa Anita 20/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 67 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 67 par20/03C9OR 67C6 @ Santa Anita 02/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 77 parC7 @ Santa Anita 24/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 76 · 5f Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 76 par24/05C7OR 76C7 @ Santa Anita 15/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 78 · 6f Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 78 parC6 @ Del Mar 18/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 88 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 88 par18/07C6OR 88C8 @ Del Mar 22/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 88 parC8 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 13/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 88 · 5f110y 125 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 88 par13/09C8OR 88projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Los Alamitos Racecourse?2nd2nd0
2026-08-22Del Mar?3rd3rd0
2026-07-18Del Mar?10th8th+2
2026-06-15Santa Anita?4th3rd+1
2026-05-24Santa Anita?3rd2nd+1
2026-05-02Santa Anita?9th7th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/012/0518/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
08/03/20264th10/147%50%+0.03
20/03/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
02/05/20269th50/10%0%0.00
24/05/20263rd16/116%50%+0.34
15/06/20264th50/10%57%+0.57
18/07/202610th50/10%10%+0.10
22/08/20263rd20/10%82%+0.82
13/09/20262nd7/163%86%+0.23