Magic Jewel

3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 65

Santa Anita · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼2

Strength84%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.8

Today:

Class gap: +1.8

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-31	Emerald Downs	?	3rd	0th	+3	5.0
2026-08-15	Emerald Downs	?	1st	-1th	+2	5.0
2026-06-06	Emerald Downs	?	5th	3rd	+2	6.8
2026-05-17	Emerald Downs	?	7th	5th	+2	4.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 75/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +28.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
17/05/2026	7th	11/2	71%	14%	-0.57
06/06/2026	5th	25/1	0%	50%	+0.50
15/08/2026	1st	2/1	89%	100%	+0.11
31/08/2026	3rd	16/1	16%	67%	+0.51