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3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 86
Santa Anita · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-08-02 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/08/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |