1

Zadra

3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 80

Santa Anita · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength48%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 05/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS5/04C6C6 @ Santa Anita 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 90 par9/05C6OR 90C9 @ Del Mar 07/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 80 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 80 par7/08C9OR 80C6 @ Del Mar 07/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 80 · 6f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 80 par7/09C6OR 80projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Del Mar?5th3rd+2
2026-08-07Del Mar?1st2nd−1
2026-05-09Santa Anita?3rd1st+2
2026-04-05Santa Anita?3rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/049/057/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength100%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20263rd20/10%71%+0.71
09/05/20263rd7/163%60%-0.03
07/08/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
07/09/20265th20/10%50%+0.50