
Zadra
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 80
Santa Anita · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-07 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |