1
A P Oxbow
2yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 1 · OR 59
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Zuma Beach Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲7
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 14.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -6.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 12th | −8 |
| 2026-09-08 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 17th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |