6
Big Juanito
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 89
Santa Anita · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 22/09/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 17/11/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 11% | -0.68 |
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 06/02/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 07/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |