7

Keep Movin' On

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 7 · OR 99

Santa Anita · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Santa Anita 18/01/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 99 · 1m1f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/01/2025 · OR 99 par18/01C5OR 99C6 @ Santa Anita 24/02/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 102 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/02/2025 · OR 102 parC8 @ Santa Anita 30/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 103 · 1m Fas 122 · below its mark30/03/2025 · OR 103 par30/03C8OR 103C6 @ Santa Anita 20/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 100 · 1m Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/04/2025 · OR 100 parC8 @ Santa Anita 11/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 100 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark11/05/2025 · OR 100 par11/05C8OR 100C8 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 19/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 97 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 97 parC8 @ Del Mar 17/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 97 · 1m 121 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 97 par17/07C8OR 97C7 @ Del Mar 08/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 95 · 1m Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 95 parC8 @ Del Mar 06/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 100 · 1m1f Fm 121 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 100 par6/09C8OR 100projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Del Mar?12th12th0
2026-08-08Del Mar?4th3rd+1
2026-07-17Del Mar?5th5th0
2026-06-19Los Alamitos Racecourse?5th5th0
2025-05-11Santa Anita?5th5th0
2025-04-20Santa Anita?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0120/0417/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/01/202510th50/10%10%+0.10
24/02/20258th8/158%22%-0.36
30/03/20254th6/168%25%-0.43
20/04/20255th8/158%33%-0.25
11/05/20255th4/179%33%-0.46
19/06/20265th10/382%20%-0.62
17/07/20265th16/116%50%+0.34
08/08/20264th20/10%67%+0.67
06/09/202612th40/10%0%0.00