4

Kiddo Light

4yo Colt · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 66

Santa Anita · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 26/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 6f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS26/09C6C9 @ Santa Anita 11/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 81 · 6f Fm 122 · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 81 par11/10C9OR 81C9 @ Santa Anita 19/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 69 · 5f110y Fas 122 · below its mark19/10/2025 · OR 69 par19/10C9OR 69C8 @ Santa Anita 25/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 64 · 5f110y Fas 125 · below its mark25/09/2026 · OR 64 par25/09C8OR 64projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Santa Anita?7th7th0
2025-10-19Santa Anita?7th8th−1
2025-10-11Santa Anita?7th8th−1
2025-09-26Santa Anita?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0911/1019/1025/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength13%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20255th25/10%0%0.00
11/10/20257th40/10%14%+0.14
19/10/20257th33/10%25%+0.25
25/09/20267th40/10%0%0.00