2
Spiritist
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 90
Santa Anita · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 12/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 26/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 08/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 02/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 31/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |