Big Blast

2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 74

Santa Anita · Race 6 - Surfer Girl Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▲5

Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: -5.4

Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-29	Del Mar	?	1st	8th	−5	2.5
2026-08-09	Del Mar	?	3rd	10th	−5	1.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +56.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
09/08/2026	3rd	4/1	79%	75%	-0.04
29/08/2026	1st	10/1	47%	100%	+0.53