7

Less Please
2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 96
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Surfer Girl Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -4.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-07-17 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 9th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 65/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |