6
River In Paradise
2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 6 · OR 90
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Surfer Girl Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: -3.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 7-7 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -78.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 66/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |