3
Piper's Hill
6yo Gelding · 10-10
Strasbourg · Prix D'auteuil Chase · 2m 4f 193y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-22 | Pornichet | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2024-12-07 | Angers | ? | −4 | ||
| 2024-10-28 | Fontainebleau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-10-19 | Nantes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-10-07 | Cholet | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2024-09-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2024 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 30/05/2024 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 09/06/2024 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/07/2024 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 06/07/2024 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/09/2024 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 07/10/2024 | 14th | 15/2 | 61% | 7% | -0.53 |
| 19/10/2024 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 22/12/2024 | 15th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |