Audeladesetoiles

4yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 10

Strasbourg · Prix Les Entrepreneurs - Cpme Du Bas-rhin (prix De La Moder) Handicap · 6f 211y

#11

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARK

Move▬

Strength10%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 3

Recent avg: C3.7

Today: 4

Class gap: +0.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-19	Chantilly	3	14th	13th	+1	1.0
2026-09-03	Vichy	4	1st	1st	0	9.0
2026-08-24	Dieppe	4	12th	12th	0	1.0
2026-08-12	Vichy	4	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-07-09	ParisLongchamp	3	10th	9th	+1	1.2
2026-05-17	Le Croise-Laroche	4	8th	8th	0	2.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 64/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▬

Strength23%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
16/03/2026	10th	40/1	0%	0%	0.00
04/04/2026	7th	40/1	0%	57%	+0.57
24/04/2026	11th	22/1	0%	23%	+0.23
17/05/2026	8th	16/1	16%	50%	+0.34
09/07/2026	10th	28/1	0%	10%	+0.10
12/08/2026	6th	50/1	0%	29%	+0.29
24/08/2026	12th	28/1	0%	0%	0.00
03/09/2026	1st	14/1	26%	100%	+0.74
19/09/2026	14th	18/1	5%	0%	-0.05