7
Knossington
4yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 7
Strasbourg · Prix Les Entrepreneurs - Cpme Du Bas-rhin (prix De La Moder) Handicap · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Strasbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Vittel | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 22/03/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/04/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 16/06/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 20/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |