6

Little Lady

4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 3

Strasbourg · Prix Les Entrepreneurs - Cpme Du Bas-rhin (prix De La Moder) Handicap · 6f 211y

#7

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Deauville 16/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS16/0134 @ Deauville 22/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1254 @ Lyon La Soie 14/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m208y Std 13514/0244 @ Fontainebleau 06/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1223 @ Strasbourg 22/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f155y Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS22/0333 @ Fontainebleau 11/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ ParisLongchamp 26/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12726/0444 @ Compiegne 09/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y GS 127C0 @ Strasbourg 20/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 7f155y GS 12720/09C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20Strasbourg?1st1st0
2026-05-09Compiegne46th6th0
2026-04-26ParisLongchamp49th9th0
2026-04-11Fontainebleau36th5th+1
2026-03-22Strasbourg36th5th+1
2026-03-06Fontainebleau41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/016/0326/0420/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/202610th40/10%31%+0.31
22/01/20264th20/10%50%+0.50
14/02/20268th14/126%53%+0.27
06/03/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
22/03/20266th7/282%62%-0.20
11/04/20266th11/271%62%-0.10
26/04/20269th14/126%27%+0.01
09/05/20266th16/116%64%+0.48
20/09/20261st10/147%100%+0.53