
Little Lady
4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 3
Strasbourg · Prix Les Entrepreneurs - Cpme Du Bas-rhin (prix De La Moder) Handicap · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Strasbourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Strasbourg | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 22/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 62% | -0.20 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 62% | -0.10 |
| 26/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 20/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |