5
Maavah
9yo Mare · 9-6 · Draw 1
Strasbourg · Prix Les Entrepreneurs - Cpme Du Bas-rhin (prix De La Moder) Handicap · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Strasbourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 08/05/2026 | 13th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 19/07/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 46% | -0.35 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 20/09/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |