11
Wilmot
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 12
Strasbourg · Prix Les Entrepreneurs - Cpme Du Bas-rhin (prix De La Moder) Handicap · 6f 211y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Strasbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Strasbourg | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 03/11/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 09/12/2025 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.20 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 54% | -0.17 |
| 16/06/2026 | 14th | 9/1 | 53% | 7% | -0.45 |
| 20/09/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |