6
Kermillis
6yo Mare · 10-7
Strasbourg · Prix Mid Dancer Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength8%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Strasbourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-22 | Compiegne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-15 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-01-31 | Pau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-12-31 | Pau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/2023 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 06/01/2024 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 88% | +0.82 |
| 18/02/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 31/03/2024 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 23/11/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 31/12/2024 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 31/01/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 15/03/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |