3
Kyd Bill
6yo Gelding · 11-4
Strasbourg · Prix Mid Dancer Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#8
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Fontainebleau | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength60%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/10/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 06/11/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |