2
Lidocaine De Cotte
5yo Filly · 11-4
Strasbourg · Prix Mid Dancer Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-12 | Vittel | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2024-12-29 | Pau | ? | 6th | 10th | −4 |
| 2024-12-03 | Fontainebleau | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +10.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |
| 29/12/2024 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 62% | -0.27 |
| 15/03/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 12/08/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |