4
Pham
6yo Mare · 10-12
Strasbourg · Prix Mid Dancer Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-07 | Vittel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-06 | Nancy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Strasbourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-11-06 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-10-30 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-08-19 | Clairefontaine | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 29/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -10.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2024 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 19/08/2024 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 06/11/2024 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 22/03/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 06/06/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 55% | -0.24 |
| 07/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |