8
Violet Hill
8yo Mare · 10-5
Strasbourg · Prix Mid Dancer Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength14%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-08-19 | Clairefontaine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2023-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2023-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2023-05-15 | Compiegne | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 30/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2021 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/02/2022 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 20/03/2022 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 44% | -0.40 |
| 30/03/2022 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 26/04/2022 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 14/05/2022 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 30/06/2023 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 14/07/2023 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |