2
Charming Cecilia
3yo Filly · 9-12 · Draw 12
Strasbourg · Prix Coupe De L'est Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 30/03/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |