1
Great Spirit
3yo Gelding · 10-0 · Draw 13
Strasbourg · Prix Coupe De L'est Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Strasbourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Strasbourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Strasbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 54/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2025 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |
| 28/02/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 62% | -0.12 |
| 20/09/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |