12
Hello Spring
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 5
Strasbourg · Prix Coupe De L'est Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#13
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saint-Malo | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Dieppe | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Nancy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 6-13 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/02/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/02/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 13/07/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 20/09/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |