5

Iron Triumph

3yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 9

Strasbourg · Prix Coupe De L'est Handicap · 1m 2f 96y

#7

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Clairefontaine 02/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1232/08C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 28/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 12828/02C5C5 @ Chantilly 19/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 12819/06C5C0 @ Vittel 19/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 13019/07C?C0 @ Deauville 04/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1144/08C?C0 @ Vittel 24/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12524/08C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Vittel?4th4th0
2026-08-04Deauville?8th8th0
2026-07-19Vittel?7th7th0
2026-06-19Chantilly?5th5th0
2026-02-28Fontainebleau?12th12th0
2025-08-02Clairefontaine?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0828/0219/0619/074/0824/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength47%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/08/202510th50/10%0%0.00
28/02/202612th40/10%0%0.00
19/06/20265th40/10%33%+0.33
19/07/20267th10/147%33%-0.14
04/08/20268th40/10%22%+0.22
24/08/20264th10/147%57%+0.10