7

Lionessa
3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 3
Strasbourg · Prix Coupe De L'est Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#12
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 9.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Deauville | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 6-10 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength41%
Delivery trend +6.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 27/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |