9
Must Be Crackers
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 1
Strasbourg · Prix Coupe De L'est Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
82%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Moulins | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Chantilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength86%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 17/12/2025 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 8% | +0.02 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 12/02/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |