3
Ocean Star
3yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 8
Strasbourg · Prix Coupe De L'est Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength98%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 16/07/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 43% | +0.01 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |