8
Roi Du Ciel
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 2
Strasbourg · Prix Coupe De L'est Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 9-13 · tight 75/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 05/06/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.31 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 20/09/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 55% | -0.14 |