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10

Smolar

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 10

Strasbourg · Prix Coupe De L'est Handicap · 1m 2f 96y

#9

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Clairefontaine 21/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12321/10C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 17/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Std 12817/11C5C5 @ Vittel 27/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 12827/07C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 21/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 12821/08C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1232/09C5C0 @ Saint-Cloud 11/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y GS 12411/09C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Saint-Cloud?14th14th0
2026-09-02Lyon-Parilly?3rd3rd0
2026-08-21Clairefontaine?6th6th0
2026-07-27Vittel?10th10th0
2025-11-17Lyon La Soie?9th9th0
2025-10-21Clairefontaine?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1017/1127/0721/082/0911/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength82%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/10/202512th40/10%15%+0.15
17/11/20259th40/10%11%+0.11
27/07/202610th33/10%25%+0.25
21/08/20266th50/10%50%+0.50
02/09/20263rd12/137%60%+0.23
11/09/202614th22/10%0%0.00