13
Acatana
6yo Mare · 8-1 · Draw 11
Strasbourg · Prix Du Dabo Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
75%
Place Prob
53%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Strasbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Strasbourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 12/08/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 14/09/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 11/11/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |