7
Afterglow
7yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 12
Strasbourg · Prix Du Dabo Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Strasbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 62/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.32 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 20/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 16/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 27/07/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 11% | -0.55 |
| 13/09/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 20/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |