3
Antinea
8yo Mare · 9-3 · Draw 15
Strasbourg · Prix Du Dabo Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-30 | Chantilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 12-15 · tight 81/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 93% | +0.03 |
| 03/03/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 58% | -0.31 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 30/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 04/05/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 47% | -0.24 |
| 19/05/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |
| 27/05/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 16/06/2026 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |