6
Arrasage
5yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 3
Strasbourg · Prix Du Dabo Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#15
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Vittel | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-27 | Strasbourg | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 11-15 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength8%
Delivery trend -8.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 09/06/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 27/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 24/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |