12
As De Juilley
9yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 5
Strasbourg · Prix Du Dabo Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Strasbourg | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Strasbourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Strasbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2025 | 13th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 14/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.22 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 11/11/2025 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/05/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |