2

Indian Sunset
7yo Mare · 9-4 · Draw 1
Strasbourg · Prix Du Dabo Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 30/12/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 27/03/2026 | 14th | 11/1 | 42% | 13% | -0.29 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/05/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 03/08/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |