Jurmala
4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 6
Strasbourg · Prix Du Dabo Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Strasbourg | 3 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 17/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 26/10/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 23/01/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 25/02/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 18/04/2026 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 12/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |