9
Kaleobayane
6yo Mare · 8-9 · Draw 7
Strasbourg · Prix Du Dabo Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 22/03/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 09/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 23/07/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |