14
Lady Ace
6yo Mare · 8-0 · Draw 13
Strasbourg · Prix Du Dabo Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Nancy | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Strasbourg | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-06-06 | Nancy | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 5-15 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength6%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2024 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 05/04/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 08/05/2025 | 15th | 25/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 06/06/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 11/11/2025 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/03/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 05/06/2026 | 11th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 13/09/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |