8
Lady Madeira
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 14
Strasbourg · Prix Du Dabo Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Nancy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Strasbourg | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 11-15 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 64% | +0.22 |
| 18/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 62% | +0.04 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 16/06/2026 | 13th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 13/09/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |