5
Malya
5yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 8
Strasbourg · Prix Du Dabo Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-29 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Lignieres | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.31 |
| 26/09/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 07/10/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 24/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.38 |
| 29/11/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 26/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.19 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |