10

Camelor
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 10
Strasbourg · Prix Agriteam (prix Richard Hartley) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#15
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-11-05 | Marseille | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-07-16 | Vichy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 8-14 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength35%
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 26/05/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 23/06/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 16/07/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 36% | -0.19 |
| 05/11/2025 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 06/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 08/05/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |