12
Cogolin
8yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 12
Strasbourg · Prix Agriteam (prix Richard Hartley) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#10
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Nancy | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 85/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 64% | -0.23 |
| 04/04/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 47% | -0.06 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 04/07/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.33 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 16/08/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |