6
Lalou
6yo Mare · 9-2 · Draw 3
Strasbourg · Prix Agriteam (prix Richard Hartley) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
83%
Place Prob
66%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Strasbourg | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Compiegne | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Strasbourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 5-16 · tight 51/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 20/07/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 27% | -0.33 |
| 14/09/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.03 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 20/09/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |