IvyArcIvyArc
4

Sea The Man

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 8

Strasbourg · Prix Agriteam (prix Richard Hartley) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Nantes 09/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1239/04C5C5 @ Evreux 27/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12827/05C5C5 @ Vichy 16/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12816/07C5C0 @ ParisLongchamp 11/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12711/09C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 09/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 1239/10C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-09Saint-Cloud?8th8th0
2025-09-11ParisLongchamp?7th7th0
2025-07-16Vichy?1st3rd−2
2025-05-27Evreux?8th10th−2
2025-04-09Nantes?2nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0427/0516/0711/099/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 37/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength63%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/04/20252nd9/488%91%+0.03
27/05/20258th11/1094%30%-0.64
16/07/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
11/09/20257th5/174%57%-0.17
09/10/20258th10/147%53%+0.06