5
Sir Walter
6yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 16
Strasbourg · Prix Agriteam (prix Richard Hartley) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-02 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 8-16 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength8%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 05/12/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/12/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 28/04/2026 | 14th | 11/1 | 42% | 7% | -0.35 |
| 19/05/2026 | 15th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/09/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |