14
Storm Star
4yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 6
Strasbourg · Prix Agriteam (prix Richard Hartley) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#14
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Vittel | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | 4 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-12 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 10-16 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 04/08/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 29/03/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 06/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/09/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |