3
Vivre Libre
4yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 15
Strasbourg · Prix Agriteam (prix Richard Hartley) Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Les Sables | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-18 | Toulouse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Pornichet | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Pornichet | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-19 | Pornichet | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 12-16 · tight 78/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 30/11/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 19/01/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 18/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |